Experts release final predictions for Ravens vs. Steelers SNF as TJ Watt sets to return

The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens in a winner-take-all game tonight at Acrisure Stadium Sunday night football AFC North title final. While the Steelers (9-7) are currently atop the division, a win for the Ravens (8-8) tonight would vault Baltimore into first place, clinching the No. 4 seed and a home playoff game for the winner while the loser faces outright elimination.

Pittsburgh’s defense gets a massive boost as an All-Pro edge rusher TJ Watts returns to the lineup tonight after missing three games with a partially collapsed lung. Watt, who has seven sacks this season, has been at full practice this week and has no injuries. Conversely, the Ravens offense will be shorthanded as a receiver Rashod Bateman was ruled out with the flu. Baltimore will be watching Lamar Jacksonreturning from his own back injury and NFL star pass rusher Derrick Henry to carry the load in Bateman’s absence.

The return of a healthy Watt against a Baltimore unit lacking its top vertical threat prompted analysts to make a final reassessment of today’s projections. The new simulations focus on whether the Ravens can match up Henry against a Watt-led front, or whether Jackson will be forced into open-ended situations.

The results of these simulations were compared with updated betting odds to construct the data-driven Ravens-Steelers preview below.

Ravens vs. Betting Preview Steelers

Use the interactive widget below to view the latest spread, total and moneyline betting odds and odds for the Ravens-Steelers game at Acrisure Stadium.

This prediction and best bet for Sunday’s NFL game between the Ravens and the Steelers comes from Dimers.comreliable source for sports betting predictions.

Check out all the important details on today’s game as well as the best odds from the best bookmakers in the country.

Game details

Key information you need ahead of Ravens vs. Steelers NFL.

• Teams: Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
• data: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Excavations: 8:20 PM EST
• Location: Acrisure Stadium
• NFL standings: Current NFL Division Standings
• NFL Injuries: Check out the latest updates on the NFL’s official injury report

Courses

Odds on key markets on Ravens-Steelers NFL game.

• Spreads: Ravens -3.5 (-110), Steelers +3.5 (-110)
• Moneylines: Ravens -190, Steelers +168
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-108/-105)

The odds and lines shown here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Expert Prediction: Ravens vs Steelers

Using advanced data analysis and machine learning, experts at Dimers ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday’s Ravens vs Steelers game.

According to Dimers’ highly regarded predictive analytics model, The Ravens are more likely to beat the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium. This prediction is based on a model that gives the Ravens a 63% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the bookies got it right and the Ravens and Steelers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5 point over/under is also considered an equal 50-50 shot.

As always, these predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication, but are subject to change.

Best bet Ravens vs. Steelers

Our best pick for Ravens vs. Steelers Week 18 NFL is up for grabs Steelers moneyline (+168).

This expert betting advice is based on comprehensive simulations and valuable betting information to help you invest better.

While the Ravens are more likely to win the game, according to Dimers, the Steelers’ moneyline is the best bet due to the advantage found when comparing Dimers’ data-driven odds to bookmaker odds.

Score Prediction for Ravens vs. Steelers

Dimers Projected Final Score for Sunday’s Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh has the Ravens win 22-19.

This expert prediction is based on each team’s average score after 10,000 game simulations and offers insight into the potential outcome.

NFL Player Supporters: Sunday

NFL tips are an exciting way to bet on Sunday’s game without necessarily betting on the outcome.

This article contains the most likely first and all-time touchdown scorers for the Ravens and Steelers, along with projected player statistics.

Baltimore Ravens

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Derrick Henry: 16.5% probability.
• Mark Andrews: 6.9% probability.
• Zay Flowers: 6.6% probability.

Anytime landing predictions

• Derrick Henry: 59.0% probability
• Mark Andrews: 31.1% probability
• Zay Flowers: 29.8% probability

Predicted Box Score Leaders

• QB Passing Yards: Lamar Jackson208 yards
• Receiving Yards: Zay Flowers66 yards
• Rushing yards: Derrick Henry90 yards

Pittsburgh Steelers

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Jaylen Warren: 8.5% probability
• Kenneth Gainwell: 8.3% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 5.0% chance

Anytime landing predictions

• Jaylen Warren: 35.1% probability
• Kenneth Gainwell: 34.4% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 22.5% probability

Predicted Box Score Leaders

• QB Passing Yards: Aaron Rodgers211 yards
• Receiving Yards: Pat Freiermuth35 yards
• Rushing yards: Jaylen Warren52 yards

NFL Week 18: Ravens vs. Steelers

Get ready for Sunday’s Week 18 matchup between the Ravens and Steelers NFL season at Acrisure Stadium, scheduled to begin at 8:20 PM EST. Please note that all NFL predictions and NFL best bets in this article are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Ravens vs. Steelers and are accurate at the time of publication to help you make better betting decisions at online sportsbooks.

When making online betting decisions, remember to gamble responsibly and seek accurate and up-to-date information from reputable sources.

If you or a loved one have questions or need to speak with a gambling professional, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information.