Ukraine, Trump and the military desperation of the EU

Reconstruction costs If the number is looking for 500,000 million eurosaccording to UN and Banco Mundial estimates.

By comparison, the invasion of Ukraine surpassed the Korean War in days and is well on its way to surpassing World War I in duration.

This situation, on the level of the major armed conflicts of the 20th century, highlights an intensified crisis for both groups.

Now the war is at a standstill. Russia controls a fifth of Ukraine’s territory and has only gained another 1.5% over the past few years, according to the State Institute for the Study of War.

However, negotiations for a long-lasting peace have ceased to exist at the point that it orbits among the imperialist flames. Putin y negative de Zelensky to make territorial concessions in the country, s Trump erect in middle finger and part.

On the edge of the facts, there are doubts and doubts about the end of Russia and its support for Ukraine in the fight for survival, but what is certain is that Trump’s return to power has been a bitter disappointment for European countries.

“Trump broke all records of ‘anti-diplomacy’ in front of his Western allies in a single year”

The Veintis quickly found themselves confronted with a very poisonous Atlantean vincul with a president who has courage and strength as his main external political tool.

All revealed the vulnerability of the veins in the context of a complete reconfiguration of the world order.

As it turns out, in just one year, Trump broke all records of “anti-diplomacy” in front of his Western allies. After the activation of the orange tree (now challenged by the Supreme Court of the United States of America) until those who want to leave OTAN if their group of members does not increase by 5% of PIB per gasto by 2035.

Spain was in the country of the North American president as a result of his refusal to sign the pact.

In the same vein, the new National Security Strategy for the United States, published a few months ago, emphasizes that Trump is very serious about significantly reducing military support to his allies on those fronts where North American interests are secondary.

In this situation, humility is summed up in the context of peace negotiations in Ukraine.

Trump endorsed Putin’s brand, and community representatives were not invited to the final rounds of negotiations in Switzerland or the United Arab Emirates.

However, there was an episode that was a decisive inflection point in the relationship between the United States and the EU: the chapter of Greenland.

The efforts of annexation by force of the Arctic island under the pretext of national security and the “inability” of Denmark to protect it from Russian and Chinese influence have dynamized the trust, another unquestionable, of the historical leaders of the transatlantic relationship, stories like Denmark, Estonia, France or your own Germany.

In light of this content, Europe understood that if you did not want to get into the position of the vessel, you had to move fast. It highlights Trump’s behavior in Ukraine, but also in other crisis areas such as Gaza, Iran or Venezuela, where a mandate to “restore peace through force” is required.

It is a terrain (brute force) in which the EU does not feel comfortable and in which its traditional conflict resolution mechanisms (sanctions, communication and diplomacy) are highly effective.

The change in the EU’s position is real and was demonstrated at the last Munich Security Conference, one of the main global forums for debate on international security policy.

There became a very noticeable conflict dialectical conflict between European states and European countries.

Meanwhile Marco Rubiothe minister of the United States of America and one of Trump’s strong men, declared that the American president is willing to follow the support of the EU “bajo sus terminos” and not as an accomplice in the spiral of decadence (especially in reference to its migration policy), Kája Kallasováleader of European diplomacy, claims that the EU is not in decadence.

Kallas boosted the strength, appeal to new members and global projection of the community bloc, as well as its peak of multilateralism, as it showcased recent commercial gains made with India and Mercosur.

Likewise, the German chancellor alluded to the growing breach and stressed, without touching on any embellishments, that the transatlantic relationship is firmly rooted and that Europe must proceed with its own security guarantees.

Here we find initiatives such as the wall of drones that twenty-somethings have been fighting for months to secure against Russia on the eastern flank, or the proposal to extend the French nuclear power plant to Paraguay as a way of deterrence (a “panel” measure that has caused debate and great restraint).

As for Ukraine, Kiev has accused the United States of military, financial and humanitarian abandonment since Trump’s election. While we can debate the rhythms, what is certain is that the EU stood on high ground to pass the law.

While US aid to Kyiv is expected to drop by 95% in 2025, the EU rate will increase from 55% in 2022 to more than 90% this year, according to the prestigious Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

Asymism, increase institutional consequences at the highest level: an extraordinary plenary session in the European Parliament in honor of the Ukrainian resistance and a visit to Kyiv Ursula von der Leyen y Antonio CostaPresidents of the Commission and the European Council, on the anniversary of the war.

In addition, very serious governance constraints remain within the EU, undermining the bloc’s credibility and undermining the strength of support in Kyiv.

“The perverse use of the veto by successive governments in Moscow clearly demonstrates the urgent need to reform the EU’s institutional system.”

A clear proof of this is the latest scandalous blockade of the 20th sanctions package against Russia by Hlad and Slovácko, as well as the loan of 90,000 million euros agreed in December to support Ukraine’s essential needs.

It is a loan financed with common knowledge and conceived as an alternative response before the failure to move frozen Russian assets for the purchase of armaments.

Inverted use of participles we are closer to Moscow than to European values This clearly creates an urgent need to reform the EU’s institutional system and abolish unanimity in this type of decision.

A recent YouGov survey reveals a significant increase in risk perception among Western citizens: between 41% and 55% of respondents are likely to see a world war scenario in the next five years.

The measures taken in the last five years have led to the EU’s forced military withdrawal, a project of peaceful integration and expansion that has left more people than anti-government.

Now, history and the current geopolitical context present us with a bitter dilemma: turn to militaristic logic or argue with the risks of an unjust peace.

*** Alberto Cuena is an expert journalist on economic issues and the European Union.