USC vs. TCU Alamo Bowl: King Miller First TD at Bet365 (+500)

The 2025 bowl season continues tonight with group stage action USC faces TCU in the Valero Alamo Bowl at the Alamodome. Bet365 highlights the premium player prop to Trojan rookie King Miller to open the scoring at +500 odds.

Miller was the breakout star for USC’s offense, averaging 103 rushing yards per game in the second half of the season. With top receivers Makai Lemon and Ja’Kobi Lane out of the game, USC is expected to lean heavily on the ground game. Facing a TCU defense that has allowed over 134 rushing yards per game this season, Miller is the prime candidate to find the end zone first tonight.

Bet365 Prop: King Miller, first touchdown scorer (+500)

This prop targets the freshman to be the first player from either team to score a touchdown in the game.

• Prop player: King Miller first touchdown scorer
• Team: USC Trojans
• Courses: +500
• Predicted probability: These odds suggest a 16.7% chance Miller, who opened the scoring.
• Recent form: Miller is coming off a career high tonight 158 rushing yards against Michigan and a multi-touchdown performance against UCLA.
• Red zone dominance: Leads USC with seven rushing touchdowns go to 6.7 yards per carry average this season.

USC vs. TCU: Detailed breakdown

The essential information you need for today’s kickoff in San Antonio.

• Teams: USC vs. TCU
• Dates: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
• Time: 9 p.m. ET
• Place: Alamodome
• Spreads: USC favored at -4.5
• Total (Over/Under): 56.5
• Money line rates: USC -184, TCU +170 Odds and lines are accurate at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dimers winning odds

Dimers’ predictive model simulated the outcome of the USC vs. TCU to provide accurate win odds.

Estimated final score

• Dimers predicted final score for the match is: USC 28, TCU 25.

Alamo Bowl: Summary and Best Bet

According to our analysis USC is the most likely team to win the Alamo Bowl tonight. While taking the Trojans on the money line is a statistically sound play Bet365 King Miller First Touchdown Scorer (+500) is the prop of an excellent player. Miller’s heavy usage — especially with key starters missing — and his 7.95 yards per carry on early downs, they give him a significant advantage to get a first down against a TCU defense that is missing its starting quarterback.

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