The No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers will face the No. 9 Alabama Crimson Tide this Thursday in a Rose Bowl game that serves as historic College Football Playoff quarterfinal. While Alabama (11-3) carries the weight of 18 national championships into Pasadena, they enter as touchdown underdogs against an undefeated Indiana (13-0) team that recently won its first straight Big Ten title since 1945.
The rivalry features a fascinating coaching web: Indiana’s Curt Cignetti was a key assistant to Nick Saban during the start of Alabama’s dynasty, while Alabama’s Kalen DeBoer previously served as the Hoosiers’ offensive coordinator. To pull off the upset, Alabama must rely on quarterback Ty Simpson to handle a blistering Indiana defense that ranks in the top 20 nationally in nearly every major category. Meanwhile, Heisman Trophy winner Fernando Mendoza leads a high-powered Hoosier offense looking to cement the greatest turnaround in the sport’s history.
The clash between Alabama’s storied postseason pedigree and Indiana’s modern day dominance prompted analysts to immediately reevaluate their game day projections. The new simulations focus on whether the Crimson Tide’s “Swarm D” can force turnovers against an Indiana unit that protects the football better than almost anyone in the country.
The results of these simulations were compared to updated betting odds to compile the Alabama-Indiana data-driven preview below.
Alabama vs. Betting Preview Indiana
Explore the interactive widget below to see the latest spreads, total and money odds and odds for the Alabama-Indiana game in the Rose Bowl.
This prediction and best bet for Thursday’s college football game between Alabama and Indiana comes from Dimers.comthe leader in sports betting predictions.
Check out all the important details on today’s game as well as the best odds from the best bookmakers in the country.
Game details
Alabama vs. Key Game Info Indiana, including where the game is and when it starts.
- Teams: Alabama vs. Indiana
- data: Thursday January 1, 2026
- Excavations: 4:00 PM EST
- Location: Pink bowl
- NCAAF Rankings: Updated AP Top 25
- College Football News: Check out the latest updates from the official NCAA Football News page
Courses
Odds on key markets for the Alabama vs. Indiana college football game.
- Spreads: Alabama +7.5 (-122), Indiana -7.5 (+100)
- Moneylines: Alabama +210, Indiana -250
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-104/-115)
The odds and lines shown in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Expert Prediction: Alabama vs. Indiana
Using state-of-the-art data analysis and advanced algorithms, Dimers experts ran 10,000 simulations of Thursday’s Alabama vs. Indiana matches.
Based on Dimers’ renowned predictive analytics model Indiana is more likely to beat Alabama in the Rose Bowl. This prediction is based on a model that gives Indiana a 64% chance of winning the game.
In addition, Dimers predicts Alabama (+7.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
As always, these predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication, but are subject to change.
Best Bet Alabama Vs. Indiana
Our best pick for Thursday’s Alabama vs. Indiana is a bet on Alabama Moneyline (+210).
This betting advice is based on state-of-the-art simulations and valuable betting intelligence designed to give you the best possible games.
While Indiana is more likely to win the game according to Dimers, Alabama is the best pick, thanks to the 3.4% edge found when comparing Dimers’ probabilities based on data with betting odds.
Score Prediction for Alabama vs. Indiana
Dimers’ projected final score for Thursday’s Alabama vs. Indiana won Indiana 26-21.
This expert prediction is based on each team’s average score after 10,000 game simulations and offers insight into the potential outcome.
College Football Week 19: Alabama vs. Indiana
Get ready for Thursday’s college football action between Alabama and Indiana in the Rose Bowl, set to begin at 4:00 PM EST. Please note that all college football best bets and college football predictions on this page are based on 10,000 Alabama vs. Indiana data based and accurate at time of publication. Their aim is to help you make more informed decisions when placing bets at online bookmakers.
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