The result of the Aragonese election 8F has many readings. Policies make a big difference. But there is a reading, the economic one, right they require some reflection for the future.
Azcón was first invested as President of Aragón on August 10, 2023 with the support of VOX and PAR. El Par did not enter government and Vox was unmarked in July 2024.
Azcón disagreed with the 2025 assumptions and it didn’t seem like 2026 could open. For this reason, parliament was dissolved and elections were called. Decisions in line with the institution of parliamentary liberal democracy.
You know the result: Azcón ganó, but bajó dos escaños; You double it and it is necessary for the investiture if you want to hold the mayoralty in the Parliament of Aragon; The PSOE has fallen to its lowest level in parliament. Derecha and centroderecha make up more than 55% of the electorate and significantly exceed the majority.
What economic impact will these results have?
Aragon’s PIB to grow by 3.1% in 2024 and 2.8% in 2025 with support in industry, construction and agriculture
Aragon’s PIB grows by 3.1% in 2024 and by 2.8% in 2025 supported by industry, construction and agriculture. Very bad. Will it be possible to continue like this without the government?
If Azcón does not sign a new agreement with VOX, it will paralyze the government and proceed to call an election. 2026 will be a bad year.
A lost year in which multimillion-dollar inversions are announced in logistics and technology companies in the autonomous community of Aragon. A word about the opening of businesses that require permission or support from the autonomous administration.
Millions of euros lost and slow job creation. In addition, other territorial entities (autonomies or European regions) will compete enthusiastically to offer conditions for new installations.
The second alternative is a new store from PP and VOX.
An economic strategy will tend to succeed if the tactics work
In this context, VOX requests political information on immigration (for example, with the preference of Spaniards in life); revision of the European Green Deal; a report on gastronomy in the so-called “chiringuitos” (green NGOs, trade unions, …); the implementation of the law of concord (replacement for democratic memory); the opposition to the autonomous financing offered by the Sánchez government and the demand for better conditions for Aragón, …
In terms of ideological politics, it is not too difficult for the PP to assume. Some are common between the two parties, such as autonomous funding; in others there are far fewer voters and fewer.
While economic suggestions that VOX are gaining ground will drop hints and move into new infrastructures. Having less and eating more without deprivation is difficult and you will have to imagine how?
Limiting gas in other parts, introducing new technologies that limit and streamline the management of autonomous administration and the search for external funds. By approving an autonomous financial law that recognizes the real needs of Aragon…
However, all types of private inversion authorizations were simplified, resulting in new records from the public administration.
It won’t be easy. It will require well-prepared teams that instigate change, that have expectations, that take decisions that take risks. In a year, the Aragonese will see that this coalition will benefit them. I have to do it all the time because the world is going faster and faster whoever does not respond to this speed will be slowed down.
In exchange, there will be a four-year legislature with a general election halfway through (2027). A general election in which, if there is a change of president, it will be because it will have a similar result to Aragón 8F. Therefore, a similar negotiation will be needed between Azcón (PP) and Nolasco (VOX), but between Feijóo and Abascal?
What one or the other has must be based on a reading appropriate to the reading of the electoral mandate.
The story is not small, it is about illusion and offering temporary realities. It’s time to reboot. The recipe is not that complicated. It is difficult to put it on the road.
As always, an economic strategy will tend to succeed if the tactics work. The first tactic is to negotiate an investiture and a legislative agreement, and in this case, a government.
** JR Pin Arboledas is an IESE professor.
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