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Within hours, the president of USA, Donald Trump went from openly encouraging overthrow of the Iranian regime with encouraging messages to the population to an important change in his words, speaking diplomatically and even stating that Tehran will negotiate.
Trump began by saying on Saturday that “This is the opportunity that Iranian society has been waiting for for decades.“and that they have to play their role to end a dictatorial regime that has eliminated all freedom in the country and limited the rights of minorities. However, 48 hours later, he went from this to opening the door to entering into negotiations with the Iranian leaders.
Furthermore, Trump initially urged the Iranian Revolutionary Guard to lay down their arms and surrender, or else “they will face certain death.” The Republican leader even stated on Saturday that he “has already identified” who can take over and take power in Iran.
Despite this, he also suggested this Sunday that everything could be resolved “in a few days” if Tehran sits down to negotiate.
He verbal back and forth on the part of the Republican is not new in Trump’s political career, but in a scenario as sensitive as the Iranian one, it once again opens questions about what his true strategy and intention with this conflict.
Also perceived in this twist of the script by Trump is the criticism he is receiving from influential figures on the North American “populist right”, such as Tucker Carlsonwho has defined the US action as “dangerous and evil.”
The most shocking statement by Trump came when he stated that, along with the Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, 48 Iranian leaders have been “eliminated” and that there are no preselected replacements because “they are already dead.”
Even more striking was his mention of a possible “Venezuelan exit,” in reference to the model applied after the capture of Nicolas Maduro in Caracas and subsequent negotiation with Chavismo, leaving his vice president, Delcy Rodriguez in charge of the country under the tutelage of the Trump Administration.
At this time, the Iranian regime is going through an unprecedented power vacuum, following the death of the main senior officials who were designated by Supreme Leader Khamenei as replacements in case of death.
Iran’s Constitution does not provide for power to remain in the hands of a single person. if the Supreme Leader dies or becomes incapacitated. The final decision on the new Supreme Leader corresponds to the Assembly of Experts, made up of 88 clerics, which is the only body with the authority to appoint him.
Institutional functions temporarily pass to a three member council: the president of the Republic, the head of the Judiciary and an Islamic jurist appointed by the Council of Guardians, which will be headed by the Ayatollah Ali Rerza Arafi.
Trump, however, has opened up in recent hours to negotiate, which has fueled the idea of ”the Venezuelan road“as a solution to end the conflict in Iran. This emerges from the latest statements of the Republican president in a telephone conversation with the media The Atlantic.
Donald Trump, during a photograph this Sunday, returning to the White House.
Reuters
Currently, it remains unknown what the strategy defined by Trump will be, who has received harsh criticism from sectors of the American right, who have accused him of “putting the interests of the United States last.”
During this phone call, Trump not only assured that he was in talks with the transitional executive in Iran, but that the Middle Eastern country had already agreed to dialogue with the United States.
“Iran wants to talk, and I have agreed to talk to them, so we will talk. They should have done it sooner,” he said. Despite his words, Iran and the United States had been negotiating for several weeks, although the Republican president maintains that there was no interest on the part of the Eastern country in reaching an agreement.
Tehran denies it
The Secretary of the Iranian Supreme Security Council, Ali Larijaniassured this Monday that the Islamic Republic will not negotiate with the United Statesafter information was made public that seemed to indicate a willingness to hold talks with the White House.
Larijani, in a brief message published on his X account, stated his refusal of any type of negotiation: “We will not negotiate with the United States.”
This message responds to an Al Jazeera publication in X that quoted the The Wall Street Journal about an alleged initiative by Larijani to reactivate contacts with Washington.
It comes after the Omani foreign minister Badr al Busaidi stated that his Iranian counterpart, Abás Araqchiexpressed willingness to support efforts to stop the escalation.
Larijani himself defended in another text published in X that “the Iranian nation is defending itself” and that the Army “did not initiate the invasion.”
In parallel, the Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, also spoke out, exhibiting a harsh tone towards the US, in an interview broadcast hours before on the Qatari television network. Al Jazeera in which he stressed that “there are no limits” to the “legitimate” Iranian defense.
From Iran, Trump is accused of “plunging the region into chaos” at the same time that the conflict has spread with Iranian attacks on neighboring countries, allies of the United States, such as the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain.
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