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The Conclave may begin between May 5 and 10; Pietro Parolin leads in betting houses to be the Supreme Pontiff
JUAN R. HERNÁNDEZ
Mexico City.- After the farewell of Papa Francisco, once they conclude Novediales and begin preparations Conclave, in the hallways of the Vatican The decision that will mark the course of the coming years will begin to take shape: choosing Peter’s new successor.
There are 135 cardinals with the right to vote – all under 80 years of age – from 71 countries, who will bear the responsibility of defining the future of the Iglesia.
THE SISTINE CHAPEL WAITS FOR YOU
Vatican regulations establish that the conclave should not be called during Novediales —the nine days of masses for the soul of the deceased pope, which begin after the burial—nor extend beyond the twentieth day after his death.
With the funeral of Francisco celebrated on April 26, the Novediales They will conclude on May 4, and the conclave may begin between May 5 and 10, the deadline imposed by ecclesiastical regulations.
He conclave will be celebrated following tradition: the order “Extra omnes” will isolate the cardinals voters from the outside world, without mobile phones or communication. There will be up to four votes a day—two in the morning and two in the afternoon—, with black smokes while there is no agreement, until a candidate obtains a two-thirds majority, sealed with the emblematic white smoke.
If after 33 or 34 votes an election is not reached, the two with the most votes will face each other in a “final”, although the same majority will still be necessary. In 2013, Francisco was elected in the fifth ballot.
THE MOST PLAYED
Among the names that are being considered to succeed him, stand out Pietro Parolin, 70-year-old Italian and current Secretary of State, is seen as a favorite for his diplomatic experience, especially in Latin America y China.
Matteo Maria Zuppi, 69 years old, represents the progressive wing, close to the migrants and to the community of Saint Egidio. Luis Antonio Tagle, A 67-year-old Filipino, nicknamed the “Asian Francis,” combines social sensitivity with doctrinal firmness.
They also appear Jean-Marc Aveline, archbishop of Marseilles, defender of interreligious dialogue, and Pierbattista Pizzaballa, Latin patriarch of Jerusalem. Among the conservatives, they stand out Peter Erdö, archbishop of Budapest, y Anders Arborelius, first Swedish cardinal.
Other possible are Mario Grech, Malcolm Ranjith, Fridolin Ambongo Besungu, Robert Francis Prevost y Timothy Dolan, reflecting the diversity of the Iglesia at a decisive moment.
BOOKING HOUSES ALREADY HAVE THE FAVORITE
Meanwhile, betting houses like Polymarket y Oddschecker They already reflect this spiritual career in figures. Pietro Parolin leads the odds with 33.3%, followed by Luis Antonio Tagle with 25% and Matteo Zuppi with 12.5%. Other names in the pools include Peter Turkson, Péter Erdö, Robert Sarah y From Pierbattista Pizzaba.
The factors that weigh in the bets are diplomatic experience, proximity to the reformist legacy of Francisco, the management of interreligious dialogue and age, in search of a pontificate that guarantees stability and continuity.
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