The 2025-26 bowling season continues today with the former conference rivalry The Navy Midshipmen will take on the Cincinnati Bearcats in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Bet365 highlights the premium player prop on Navy star quarterback Blake Horvath, who opened the scoring at +275 odds.
Horvath was a dual-threat sensation for Navy, amassing 1,147 rushing yards and 1,472 passing during the 2025 regular season. Facing a Cincinnati defense that has struggled to stop the run — allowing more than 220 rushing yards per game during a season-ending skid — Horvath is in prime position to strike first. With the Bearcats missing key defensive starters and quarterback Brendan Sorsby due to transfer, Navy is expected to control the tempo from the opening drive.
Bet365 Prop: Blake Horvath First Touchdown Scorer (+275)
This prop focuses on the senior quarterback to be the first player from either team to score a touchdown in a game.
- Prop player: Blake Horvath first touchdown scorer
- Team: Navy Midshipmen
- Courses: +275
- Predicted probability: These odds suggest a 26.7% chance of Horvath opened the scoring.
- Scoring machine: Horvath averaged 1.5 touchdowns per game for the last 10 appearances.
- Red zone dominance: Leads the team in red zone opportunities scored 12 of his 15 rushing touchdowns inside the opponent’s 20-yard line.
Navy vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown
The essential information you need for today’s Memphis kickoff.
- Teams: Navy vs. Cincinnati
- Dates: Friday, January 2, 2026
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Place: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Spreads: Navy favored at -8
- Total (Over/Under): 58
- Money line rates: Navy -286, Cincinnati +245 Odds and lines are accurate at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dimers winning odds
Dimers’ predictive model simulated the outcome of the Navy vs. Cincinnati 10,000 times to provide accurate winning odds.
Estimated final score
- Our predicted final score for this college football game is: Navy 30, Cincinnati 26.
Liberty Bowl: Summary and Best Bet
According to our analysis navy is the most likely team to win the Liberty Bowl tonight. While playing the Midshipmen on the money line is a statistically sound play Bet365 Blake Horvath First Touchdown Scorer (+275) is a prop of an excellent player. Horvath’s elite rushing ability and Cincinnati’s defensive vulnerabilities — coupled with numerous drop-off options — give him a significant advantage in finding the end zone early. With a high probability Over 58 points (54.6%)expect an active scoreboard with Horvath leading the Navy.
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